bookmate game
en
Joosr

A Joosr Guide to… Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner

Kitap eklendiğinde bana bildir
Bu kitabı okumak için Bookmate’e EPUB ya da FB2 dosyası yükleyin. Bir kitabı nasıl yüklerim?
In today's fast-paced world, it's tough to find the time to read. But with Joosr guides, you can get the key insights from bestselling non-fiction titles in less than 20 minutes. Whether you want to gain knowledge on the go or find the books you'll love, Joosr's brief and accessible eBook summaries fit into your life. Find out more at joosr.com.

We all make forecasts in our daily lives, whether we're investing in the stock market or simply planning our weekly food shop. These forecasts shape our future, but unfortunately we aren't very good at making them. So what can we do to improve our predictive abilities?

Superforecasting reveals the predictive skills you need to make more accurate forecasts and how to hone in on these skills, using them to your advantage in your daily life. Anyone can predict the future-we just need to learn from the experts: the superforecasters.

You will learn:

· What makes a good superforecaster

· The common mistakes people make when trying to make a prediction

· How to harness the power of the superforecasters.
Bu kitap şu anda mevcut değil
19 yazdırılmış sayfalar
Yayınlanma yılı
2016
Bunu zaten okudunuz mu? Bunun hakkında ne düşünüyorsunuz?
👍👎

Alıntılar

  • Irina Gosselinkalıntı yaptı6 yıl önce
    Most of the tasks we complete in life are learned through a similar technique: try, fail, analyze, adjust, try again.
  • Irina Gosselinkalıntı yaptı6 yıl önce
    This approach works well in any scenario: simply consider the average, then adjust it according to any additional or unique information that you have.
  • Irina Gosselinkalıntı yaptı6 yıl önce
    Whenever you make a prediction, always remember that no event or situation is entirely unique.

Kitap raflarında

fb2epub
Dosyalarınızı sürükleyin ve bırakın (bir kerede en fazla 5 tane)